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Bitcoin Price Prediction – Bulls Regain Control After Resistance Retest, $89K Back in Focus

Highlights:

  • Bitcoin’s rising price and buying volumes point to strong demand and potential for further upside.
  • Derivatives-driven demand and shorts liquidations point to rising leverage and growing bullish sentiment in the market.
  • Institutional inflows near $1B and easing geopolitical tensions support a bullish outlook.

Bitcoin (BTC) is firmly in the green today, reflecting the rising momentum across the cryptocurrency market. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $76,436.58, up 2.25% for the day. Bitcoin trading volumes are also on the rise in the day, up 8.59% to stand at $37.55 billion. Rising trading volumes, alongside price action, hint at strong buying in the market. With such momentum, Bitcoin could be headed high in the short to medium term. Multiple factors support further gains for Bitcoin in the foreseeable future. 

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Rising Demand In Derivatives Market Could Send Bitcoin Price Higher

One of them is that overall risk-on sentiment is rising after dropping sharply when the Iran war started. Key indicators of rising risk-on sentiment include stock markets hitting new all-time highs and the growing appetite for leveraged cryptocurrencies. Latest data show that most of the demand for Bitcoin at the moment is not in the spot market but in derivatives. This shows that investors are increasingly using leverage to bet on Bitcoin. 

Such a level of risk appetite points to a buildup in FOMO, and could see Bitcoin continue to push higher in the short to medium term. Still on derivatives likely pushing Bitcoin higher, data shows that in the last 24 hours, $268 million in Bitcoin and Ethereum were liquidated.

Most of the liquidations were shorts, a signal that the average investor is betting more on Bitcoin going up and, in the process, pushing out short sellers. With the price now firmly above a major resistance level, Bitcoin could experience a surge in long positions. The result is that BTC could soon rally back to its last all-time highs.

Institutional FOMO On the Rise as Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge

 Bitcoin could also get a boost from the growing presence of institutional capital in the market. Data shows that on the week ending April 17, Bitcoin recorded inflows of $996 million. This is a big deal, as it points to a growing appetite for Bitcoin despite ongoing geopolitical developments.

Since Bitcoin’s scarcity is built in as a feature, this growing FOMO among institutions could keep Bitcoin’s price pushing higher in the short to medium term. Retail FOMO could also follow now that institutional confidence is becoming entrenched, further adding to Bitcoin’s momentum.

Ongoing Talks Between Iran And US Could Help Push BTC Higher

At the same time, the geopolitical events that have recently impacted markets could soon improve. Despite all the back and forth between the US and Iran, both sides appear ready to continue talking in Pakistan. While they now have tough stances toward each other, this usually happens when negotiations are headed toward an amicable agreement.

If positive news emerges from the ongoing talks and Bitcoin is already showing strength, the odds are high that a rally to prices above $100k could follow. Sentiment is already pointing to a shift from neutral to greed, a shift that often precedes exponential price moves in a short time.

Technical Analysis – Bitcoin Price Back Above Key Resistance After Retest

Bitcoin broke through the $74,723 resistance on April 15, but retested it on April 19. Then yesterday, April 20, Bitcoin pushed back above this resistance, and is currently holding firm above it.

Bitcoin Price Chart
Bitcoin Price Chart: TradingView

A retest and hold above the resistance hint at strong, increasing demand. If the current price action continues, Bitcoin could be headed to $89,193, or even higher, in the short term. However, if bulls falter and there is another retest and failure at $74,723, it could signal that bears are back. In such a case, the Bitcoin price could hit the $62,618 support. With risk-on sentiment back, the odds are higher that Bitcoin could be headed higher in the short- to medium-term.

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