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ZCash Price Prediction – Supply Bug Fallout Puts $196 Support in Focus as Confidence Crumbles

Highlights:

  • ZCash price crashes over 40% as a critical supply bug sparks panic selling.
  • Confidence weakens after another ZCash crisis, adding to concerns following earlier uncertainty within the developer team.
  • Bears remain in control, with a breakdown below $301 potentially exposing ZEC to the $196 support level.

ZCash (ZEC) is in an attention-grabbing correction today, even as the broader cryptocurrency market remains bearish. When writing, ZCash was trading at $310.89, down 44.95%. Meanwhile, ZCash trading volumes have surged intraday, up 92.12% to stand at $2.6 billion. The surging volumes while the price is crashing indicate that fear is on the rise and that holders are dumping their tokens.

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ZCash Price Falls as Supply Bug Shakes Confidence

ZCash’s correction intraday is a result of news of a bug in the network. Yesterday, June 4, it emerged that ZCash had failed to produce a block for over 4 hours. However, this did not affect the price, as investors have seen similar issues on other chains before. It is the news today that ZCash has a bug that could allow malicious actors to generate an unlimited supply of fake ZEC tokens. This revelation has triggered panic selling because it means they could flood the market with ZEC, potentially pushing the price to zero, or thereabouts. 

For a coin that was valued at over $500 when the bug was reported, that potentially meant that investors were holding an overpriced and potentially worthless cryptocurrency, hence the rush to dump.

While the ZEC technical team has announced that the bug has been fixed, the market confidence in ZCash is gone. That’s because no one can tell whether any malicious actor has already minted ZEC, how many were created, or how they could affect future demand and supply dynamics. Such a breach of integrity in supply could see ZCash keep crashing into the foreseeable future.

Not the First Time ZEC Is Facing A Crisis – A Dent to Confidence

Even worse for ZCash, this is not the first time it has faced a crisis. Earlier in the year, ZCash holders panicked after it was announced that the entire developer team had resigned from the ZCash Foundation. While ZEC recovered after the team announced they would still be working on ZEC, such repeated scares in a highly volatile market could erode confidence over time, making recovery harder.

Broader Market Downtrend Negatively Impacting ZCash

The news of the bug also comes at a time when the broader cryptocurrency market is in a downtrend. Bitcoin is struggling above $60k and could be headed for a drop below it. Under these circumstances, capital is already fleeing altcoins since they usually take the biggest hit during cryptocurrency bear markets. Given that ZCash was among the few that were holding their value better in recent weeks, the latest news means that ZEC is mispriced.

As such, the fear of excess supply and mispricing could lead to more double-digit corrections in ZEC as investors seek to preserve their capital. Besides, even in the privacy space where ZCash has been a formidable player, investors could move en masse to Monero.

Monero has proven to be so good at privacy that it has been mass delisted from exchanges over time. However, ZCash could have a silver lining if Bitcoin rebounds and uplifts all altcoins with it. In such a case, ZEC could recover some of the value lost in the panic selloff. 

Technical Analysis – ZCash Price Loses Critical Support Levels as Bears Reign

Following news of a bug in the ZEC network, the price crashed through the $509.31 and 301.50 support levels in a little over 24 hours. Nonetheless, the price has moved back above the $301.50 support intraday. If buyers expect the panic selling to be over and the $301.50 support to hold, a rebound to $376.52 could follow.

ZCash Price Chart
ZCash Price Chart: TradingView

However, if the selloff continues and the ZCash price crashes through the $301.50 support, a correction to the $196.36 support could follow in the short term. Of these scenarios, a correction to $196.36 or lower is more likely. That’s because, on top of all the bad news around ZCash, the broader market is also bearish.

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